
Attention doughnut junkies: Krispy Kreme is on its way to Japan.
On June 26, Krispy Kreme Japan was launched with investment from fast-food giant Lotte Japan and management consulting firm, Revamp Corporation. The partners contributed 70% and 30% respectively.
Krispy Kreme's first shop is expected to open in Tokyo sometime this autumn, and the chain hopes to open 30 to 50 additional locations in the metropolitan area over the next five years. Krispy Kreme Japan will be headed up by Shinji Kosaka, a former McDonald's executive.
The brand has grown remarkably in the US over the past decade, and the Japan team is setting ambitious goals. But can a new doughnut franchise make it in Japan?
Krispy Kreme's ultimate success will depend on many factors, but from the marketing perspective, I think it's important to consider three things.
1) Is there a demand for doughnuts in Japan?
2) Can Krispy Kreme attract Japanese consumer interest?
3) Does the brand have long-term potential?
First things first. Japanese consumers are no strangers to doughnuts—both Dunkin' Donuts and Mister Donuts launched in Japan in the early 70's, so the Japanese have been consuming chain-store doughnuts for over 35 years. Moreover, basic doughnut varieties (plain, sugared, glazed) are now widely available at supermarkets, conveniences stores—and even at fast food restaurants like Wendy's (where they are offered on the breakfast menu). So basic product familiarity is not going to be a problem.
That being said, entering the Japanese market with a new doughnut franchise can hardly be considered a "no brainer." Dunkin' Donuts—which is the largest doughnut chain in the United States, failed in Japan in 1998 after 30 years of operations.
Generally speaking, overseas food franchises can take several measures to vastly improve their long-term chances for success in Japan. Among these, the product should be unique, since Japanese consumers are often willing to try new items, plus there should be few existing competitors along with some barriers to entry. These are critical because if the brand is successful the market will be soon flooded with local competitors. Additionally, Japanese consumers—who are notoriously fickle—will begin to stray as they look for the next "new" thing. Thus brands breaking into Japan must make a pile of money immediately as they simultaneously open new shops, introduce new products, and effectively manage ongoing operations. This is not always easy, as Burger King, Arby's, Taco Bell, and many other Japan failures have discovered.
In the case of Japan's doughnut market, international chains like Dunkin' Donuts, did NOT face competition from home-grown Japanese doughnut franchises. Rather, the brand's demise followed the European-style bakery and café boom that hit Japan in the 1990's. These new shops not only offered a range of products that covered more eating occasions (in Japan, doughnuts are consumed primarily as snacks and desserts—rarely as breakfast food), they also offered broader variety, more sophisticated dining areas, superior European-style coffees and products that could be used for gift occasions.
By the late 90's, consumers had lots of options when it came to cake-type desserts and coffee. The market could probably only sustain one national doughnut chain, and that turned out to be Mister Donuts.
Given that doughnuts are now widely available, consumers have alternative products to choose from, and only one chain survives, does Krispy Kreme have a chance in Japan?
It depends.
Krispy Kreme must begin by getting people to try the product. In Japan this is often achieved by generating early buzz. Not every brand can do this, but Krispy Kreme has a several things on its side. First, core to the Krispy Kreme proposition is their custom of for preparing products in full view of customers and offering them up fresh several times daily. The Japanese greatly admire freshness and craftsmanship—and these aspects alone—if properly leveraged, can spur trial and cultivate loyalty. Moreover, the brand has an interesting heritage—which appeals to both the press and the general public. If the company's marketers use the brand history effectively, they'll create an even greater frenzy.
On the other hand, getting consumers to try the product is only the first hurdle. If Krispy Kreme fails in any of the following, no amount of press buzz will help.
Krispy Kreme must:
- Secure optimal locations
- Offer a selection of products that appeals to Japanese tastes while keeping production costs under control
- Continually introduce new items to prevent consumer-side boredom
- Create an appealing in-store atmosphere
- Excel in product and service quality
- Invest heavily in advertising and PR
We'll have to wait and see how the brand chooses to execute. If Krispy Kreme puts together a competent team and get their 4P's right, they might be able to get the brand off to a good start. But by the time they've reached critical mass, the LOHAS and health booms that are gripping Japan's food opinion leaders today may have penetrated to the masses—and doughnuts—may in the end, go the way of the Dodo.
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